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USD/CAD depressed near multi-month lows, below mid-1.3500s

USD/CAD depressed near multi-month lows, below mid-1.3500s

  • USD/CAD remained depressed for the second straight session amid a subdued USD demand.
  • Growing optimism about the global economic recovery weighed on the safe-haven greenback.
  • A modest pickup in crude oil prices underpinned the loonie and added to the selling pressure.
  • Extremely oversold conditions on hourly chats might help limit deeper losses, at least for now.

The USD/CAD pair witnessed some follow-through selling through the Asian session on Tuesday and dropped to near three-month lows, around the 1.3530 region. The pair added to the previous day's heavy losses, confirming a near-term bearish break through 100-day SMA support near the 1.3700 round-figure mark and over two-month-old descending trend-channel.

The US dollar remained depressed amid growing optimism about a sharp V-shaped global economic recovery and widespread violent protests over the death of George Floyd at the hands of Minneapolis police. This coupled with the US President Donald Trump's measured response to China’s move to tighten control over Hong Kong further boosted investors' sentiment and undermined the greenback's safe-haven demand.


On the other hand, the growing possibility of an extension of OPEC production cuts led to a modest pickup in crude oil prices and extended some support to the commodity-linked currency – the loonie. This, in turn, contributed to the USD/CAD pair's ongoing slide to the lowest level since March 9.

Apart from this, Tuesday's downfall could further be attributed to some technical selling. However, extremely oversold conditions on hourly charts held investors from placing aggressive bearish bets and helped limit deeper losses for the USD/CAD pair, at least for the time being.

There isn't any major market-moving economic data due for release on Tuesday, either from the US or Canada. Hence, the USD/oil price dynamics might continue to play a key role in influencing the USD/CAD pair's momentum and produce some meaningful trading opportunities.


Technical levels to watch


Today last price 1.3539
Today Daily Change -0.0033
Today Daily Change % -0.24
Today daily open 1.3572
Daily SMA20 1.3941
Daily SMA50 1.402
Daily SMA100 1.3724
Daily SMA200 1.346
Previous Daily High 1.3802
Previous Daily Low 1.3558
Previous Weekly High 1.4008
Previous Weekly Low 1.3715
Previous Monthly High 1.4173
Previous Monthly Low 1.3715
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3651
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3709
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3487
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3401
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3243
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.373
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3888
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3973


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